Winter Weather Preview: What to Expect in Story, Wyoming This Season

As autumn fades and the first frost appears across the meadows of Story, Wyoming, residents begin preparing for another winter in the Bighorn Mountains. Located just east of the Continental Divide near Sheridan, our community experiences a wide range of winter weather from deep snow to brief thaws. Current forecasts suggest that the 2025–2026 winter will bring a season of variety, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions, which fall between El Niño and La Niña patterns. This setup typically produces alternating cold periods, short warm-ups, and frequent storm systems.

Temperatures: Below Average with Periodic Warm Spells

Most long-range forecasts point to below-average temperatures across northern Wyoming, particularly in the Sheridan–Story area. Meteorologist Don Day expects several cold outbreaks during mid-December, late January, and early February, with temperatures likely dipping below zero at times. OpenSnow supports this outlook, citing weather patterns that will direct Arctic air south into the Northern Rockies.

However, not all sources predict a prolonged deep freeze. The Old Farmer’s Almanac calls for above-normal temperatures overall in Sheridan County, while the NOAA Climate Prediction Center suggests “equal chances” for above-, near-, or below-normal conditions. This means Story residents should anticipate fluctuating temperatures, short periods of severe cold interrupted by milder stretches.

Snowfall: Above-Average Potential for Northern Wyoming

Snowfall projections lean toward an above-average season for much of Wyoming, particularly in the northern half of the state. Don Day anticipates totals exceeding both recent years and long-term averages. The setup is similar to the 2019–2020 winter, when frequent storms produced substantial snowpack in the Bighorns.

OpenSnow forecasts the heaviest snowfall in February and March, with early winter (November through January) starting somewhat drier. NOAA’s precipitation outlook also favors above-normal precipitation for the Northern Rockies, which includes the Sheridan–Story region. AccuWeather expects a snowy corridor across the Plains into the Intermountain West, likely benefiting local recreation areas such as Antelope Butte.

In contrast, the Old Farmer’s Almanac projects below-normal snowfall for Sheridan County but identifies three likely snow periods: mid-November, early January, and late February. The Sheridan Press also anticipates a milder season overall. In summary, storm frequency is expected to increase, but snow totals will depend on the exact tracks of incoming systems.

Overall Pattern: A Dynamic, Changeable Winter

With neutral ENSO conditions in place, Wyoming can expect a more variable winter pattern. Don Day forecasts more frequent storms and a longer-lasting season, possibly beginning earlier than usual and extending into late February.

For Story residents, this means preparing for both heavy snow and rapid temperature changes. Drivers should watch for icy conditions on US 14, and homeowners should be alert for potential runoff issues during brief warm-ups.

Preparing for the Season

Whether maintaining livestock, enjoying winter recreation, or simply managing daily routines, preparation will be important this year. Keep vehicles winter-ready, maintain emergency supplies, and monitor local forecasts for storm updates.

The 2025–2026 winter in Story, Wyoming, is shaping up to be colder and more active than recent years, with strong potential for above-average snowfall and shifting weather patterns. Staying informed and prepared will help residents make the most of the season, safely and confidently.